SVBD

0x74f30b...db3472@BenjaminCu60131
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
81.0%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
42
Sharpe Ratio
-0.47
Sortino Ratio
-0.37
Max Drawdown
2000.5%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.91
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
08.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢68.859Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?BUY0.2¢700Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢70.19Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?BUY99.9¢70.05Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 3?BUY99.8¢69.98Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 29?BUY91.0¢21.978Jan 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 15?BUY99.9¢67.857Jan 15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?BUY99.9¢67.787Jan 9
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢67.727Jan 4
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY99.9¢67.658Dec 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 21?BUY99.9¢67.067Dec 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?BUY99.9¢67.517Dec 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?BUY99.9¢67.457Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?BUY0.3¢666.667Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in November 2025?BUY99.9¢66.386Nov 30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 24?BUY99.9¢66.316Nov 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 19?BUY99.9¢66.246Nov 19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?BUY99.9¢20.02Nov 10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?BUY99.9¢1.001Nov 10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?BUY99.9¢20.02Nov 7
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%83%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.7%
Win Consistency47.6%
Profit Factor0.22
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.14
Trading Activity31 trades · 20 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,2270d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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