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sweters

0x1bf0c8...870a7b
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
70.0%
Total P&L
+$250
Trade Count
21
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33
Sortino Ratio
-0.26
Max Drawdown
3512.1%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
4.25
Kelly Fraction
0.535
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY63.0¢27,500Mar 5
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?BUY21.0¢32Dec 18
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?BUY21.0¢38Dec 18
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?BUY21.0¢20Dec 18
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL79.0¢6,400Nov 25
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY78.0¢6,400Nov 25
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL76.6¢6Nov 24
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL76.9¢5Nov 24
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL76.9¢6,089Nov 24
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?BUY72.7¢6,100Nov 24
Will England win on 2025-10-09?BUY78.0¢14.103Oct 9
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?BUY2.6¢61.538Mar 17
Mavericks vs. KingsBUY60.0¢8.833Dec 30
Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?SELL99.0¢7.24Dec 30
Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?BUY99.1¢7.245Dec 30
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?SELL0.4¢97.77Dec 2
Will the Social Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?BUY58.0¢97.776Nov 27
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?SELL98.7¢64.34Nov 21
Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?BUY99.0¢64.343Nov 21
Solana above $210 on November 22?SELL98.2¢64.86Nov 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%23%20–30%30–50%23%50–70%23%70–80%80–90%23%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.8%
Win Consistency72.7%
Profit Factor0.79
Drawdown Resilience0.64
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64
Weekly Sharpe est.0.49
Trading Activity11 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,0351d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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