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swfZ

0x256bc7...6490bd
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
65.2%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
471
Sharpe Ratio
0.30
Sortino Ratio
3.53
Max Drawdown
1311.4%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.90
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢5.15Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.48Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢8.25Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢8.256Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢9.83Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢9.825Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.3¢13.73Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢13.722Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢8.18Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢8.5Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢8.457Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢9.128Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢6.13Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.8¢6.135Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢6.17Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢6.16Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢8.45Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%10%70–80%9%80–90%64%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.2%
Win Consistency39.6%
Profit Factor0.43
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity471 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5227d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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