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SwingProphet

0x354d60...d0eb8f
Smart Score
64
Win Rate
25.8%
Total P&L
+$1.2K
Trade Count
1,274
Sharpe Ratio
2.13
Sortino Ratio
45.05
Max Drawdown
7.2%
ROI
5.8%
Profit Factor
1.57
Kelly Fraction
0.093
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
063.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY12.0¢83.385Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY11.0¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.7¢31.44Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETBUY33.0¢50Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY19.0¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.7¢30.56Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢80Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢70Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY9.0¢50Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢5.21Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢56.78Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY10.6¢15.57Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY28.6¢2.955Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY28.6¢4.202Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY28.6¢1.611Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY28.6¢24.41Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL84.0¢50Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY3.0¢50Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL15.0¢49.99Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%24%10–20%21%20–30%17%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active63.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)58.0%
Win Consistency75.8%
Profit Factor1.66
Drawdown Resilience1.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.34
Weekly Sharpe est.1.02
Trading Activity1,274 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$50315d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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