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sxf77

0x474f07...91a137
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
66.7%
Total P&L
+$248
Trade Count
93
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19
Sortino Ratio
-0.14
Max Drawdown
448.8%
ROI
9.8%
Profit Factor
11.09
Kelly Fraction
0.607
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY98.4¢2.663Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY97.8¢3.067Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY97.2¢3.086Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?BUY99.9¢5.005Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢4.008Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY99.5¢6.673Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY99.1¢5.933Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢3.064Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢2.049Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.1¢3.122Mar 5
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.4¢26.91Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY88.0¢9.38Dec 2
Senators vs. CanadiensBUY52.0¢567.22Dec 2
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.4¢20Dec 2
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.4¢31.3Oct 5
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.2¢31.36Oct 5
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.3¢62.73Oct 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $85K in September?BUY99.6¢13.39Sep 23
Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?BUY99.8¢48.9Sep 20
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in August?BUY98.4¢62.14Aug 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%5%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%11%80–90%73%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%
Win Consistency62.5%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity25 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6691d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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