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sydu4

0x596d8f...8b1aad@wmufl98985328
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
88.1%
Total P&L
+$1.3K
Trade Count
228
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38
Sortino Ratio
-0.38
Max Drawdown
13419.4%
ROI
5.1%
Profit Factor
8.07
Kelly Fraction
0.772
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.8¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY99.7¢40Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 5?BUY99.9¢20Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢20Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢100Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.8¢100Mar 2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?SELL28.0¢20Mar 1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY31.0¢20Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL83.8¢15Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL84.2¢45Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY83.5¢60Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?SELL22.0¢20Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY24.0¢20Mar 1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL87.0¢100Mar 1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY87.0¢100Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL71.0¢48Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL71.0¢2Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY71.0¢50Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL25.0¢32.15Mar 1
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL29.0¢11.99Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%78%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.3%
Win Consistency39.8%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity150 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,9396d profit50d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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