texmo

0x24f423...370f4a@texmocs

Smart Score

Win Rate

23.5%

Total P&L

+$1.8K

Trade Count

1,668

Sharpe Ratio

1.00

Sortino Ratio

74.44

Max Drawdown

9364.5%

ROI

3.0%

Profit Factor

3.16

Kelly Fraction

0.161

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	5.4¢	62.17	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	5.4¢	25.51	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	5.4¢	4.82	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	5.4¢	369.091	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	5.3¢	283.019	Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	47.0¢	1.887	Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	47.0¢	18.868	Mar 5
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	41.0¢	68.78	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	138.889	Mar 4
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?	SELL	46.0¢	89.682	Mar 4
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	32.0¢	237.5	Mar 4
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?	BUY	29.3¢	102.405	Mar 4
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	26	Mar 4
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	673.998	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	BUY	14.0¢	12.071	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	81.74	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	63.83	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	53.0¢	5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.2%

Win Consistency78.2%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.58

Trading Activity1,668 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

+$22114d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue