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Tgg

0x89b987...19367a
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
43.5%
Total P&L
+$30
Trade Count
147
Sharpe Ratio
0.24
Sortino Ratio
0.53
Max Drawdown
307.6%
ROI
3.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Kelly Fraction
0.039
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY21.9¢13.699Mar 5
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY7.4¢40.541Mar 5
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY31.0¢9.677Mar 5
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY74.0¢6.757Mar 5
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY34.4¢8.721Mar 5
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY55.0¢9.091Mar 5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY23.0¢8.696Mar 5
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY17.8¢16.854Mar 5
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY50.0¢10Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY55.8¢17.921Mar 4
Will "Jamie" be said 5+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)BUY50.0¢6Mar 3
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY40.0¢10Mar 3
Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY47.0¢4.255Mar 3
Will Trump say "Fake News" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY35.0¢5.714Mar 3
Will Trump say "Wind" or "Solar" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY76.7¢13.046Mar 3
Will Trump say "France" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY60.0¢8.333Mar 3
Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY20.0¢25Mar 3
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?BUY74.0¢13.514Mar 3
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?BUY17.8¢56.111Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY60.0¢8.333Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%8%10–20%19%20–30%29%30–50%26%50–70%9%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.7%
Win Consistency44.5%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity147 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7682d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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