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the-fizz

0x3edf93...bbfacd
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
-$1.2K
Trade Count
501
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
3.07
Max Drawdown
1090.8%
ROI
-4.8%
Profit Factor
0.66
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY94.8¢21.154Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL5.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY94.8¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY94.8¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY94.7¢7.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 6?BUY90.0¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY96.0¢90Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?SELL99.9¢140.41Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY94.7¢16.15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY94.7¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY92.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY83.2¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢10.94Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢19.56Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY90.0¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?BUY95.9¢19.14Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?BUY95.9¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?BUY95.9¢30.86Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%9%10–20%5%20–30%22%30–50%14%50–70%14%70–80%19%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%
Win Consistency40.1%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity501 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,6947d profit35d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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