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0x968c7d...b10063

0x968c7d...b10063
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
16.4%
Total P&L
-$62
Trade Count
63
Sharpe Ratio
1.58
Sortino Ratio
279.20
Max Drawdown
7.9%
ROI
-38.2%
Profit Factor
0.35
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY18.0¢5.556Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY8.9¢37.5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY5.0¢20Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY22.9¢13.087Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ETBUY21.0¢12.81Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2PM ETBUY19.0¢26.316Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETBUY4.0¢50Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ETBUY1.0¢111Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETBUY28.9¢17.276Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY13.0¢15.385Mar 1
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on March 1?BUY5.3¢56.183Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6AM ETSELL99.9¢6Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6AM ETBUY50.0¢6Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY54.0¢9.259Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETBUY12.0¢8.333Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY23.0¢8.696Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY17.0¢5.882Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?BUY0.7¢142.857Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?BUY9.4¢10.638Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 1?BUY2.8¢47.857Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%16%10–20%22%20–30%10%30–50%12%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.6%
Win Consistency60.0%
Profit Factor0.99
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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