TheGoldenWitch

0x658601...fbc69c

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.1%

Total P&L

-$1.6K

Trade Count

3,113

Sharpe Ratio

0.37

Sortino Ratio

12.45

Max Drawdown

120.7%

ROI

-2.6%

Profit Factor

0.74

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?	BUY	9.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	BUY	91.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?	BUY	9.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?	BUY	91.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	BUY	93.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?	BUY	93.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?	SELL	15.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-23 House seat?	SELL	82.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	SELL	92.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?	SELL	90.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?	SELL	8.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	SELL	90.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?	SELL	92.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?	SELL	8.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	BUY	91.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the CA-39 House seat?	BUY	9.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?	BUY	9.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the GA-08 House seat?	BUY	91.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	BUY	93.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat?	BUY	93.0¢	200	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.0%

Win Consistency59.8%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity3,102 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,7874d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue