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TheNobody1322

TheNobody1322

0x31cd3a...0647e5
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
52.1%
Total P&L
+$1.5K
Trade Count
887
Sharpe Ratio
1.80
Sortino Ratio
18.05
Max Drawdown
3223.8%
ROI
15.3%
Profit Factor
141.73
Kelly Fraction
0.518
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
055.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢30Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢400Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢30Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢15.005Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢474.443Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢40Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢3.94Mar 4
Bill Gates charged by June 30?BUY4.0¢16.66Mar 4
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?BUY15.0¢100Mar 4
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? BUY17.0¢100Mar 4
Bill Gates charged by June 30?SELL6.0¢1.377Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY16.0¢5.31Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.2¢16.012Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY16.0¢27.78Mar 4
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY16.0¢15Mar 4
Bill Gates charged by June 30?SELL6.0¢16.667Mar 4
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL26.0¢25Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY14.0¢72.442Mar 4
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL25.0¢25Mar 4
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3¢1,080.98Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%72%< 10%12%10–20%4%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active55.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.8%
Win Consistency75.0%
Profit Factor1.45
Drawdown Resilience1.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.89
Trading Activity887 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3666d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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