TheOneders

0x3c00d4...fa1c78
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
37.6%
Total P&L
+$1.1K
Trade Count
3,584
Sharpe Ratio
0.66
Sortino Ratio
88.44
Max Drawdown
271.3%
ROI
6.9%
Profit Factor
1.26
Kelly Fraction
0.077
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
027.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 6?SELL78.0¢11.49Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?SELL75.7¢11.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 6?SELL30.0¢19.15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 6?SELL30.0¢22.85Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?BUY83.0¢12.04Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?BUY83.0¢11.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY82.0¢8.84Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?SELL73.0¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?SELL70.0¢11.76Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?SELL70.0¢11.9Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?SELL70.0¢11.9Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY82.0¢2.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 6?BUY90.0¢5.55Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?BUY33.0¢1.14Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 6?BUY90.0¢11.11Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?BUY85.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY83.0¢12.04Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?BUY33.0¢1.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?BUY85.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 6?BUY33.0¢1.654Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%29%< 10%9%10–20%10%20–30%29%30–50%14%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%
Win Consistency54.6%
Profit Factor0.72
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity3,584 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,5250d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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