thequantumgoat

0xa82d41...960c40

Smart Score

Win Rate

13.3%

Total P&L

-$1.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

1.68

Max Drawdown

6011.4%

ROI

-73.8%

Profit Factor

0.01

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	23.0¢	53.913	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	543.54	Feb 20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	24.0¢	543.542	Feb 11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	527.22	Feb 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	806.45	Feb 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	3.1¢	806.452	Feb 7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	527.222	Feb 5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	0.7¢	58,860.605	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	0.7¢	13,677.143	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	11.8¢	847.458	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	9.0¢	557.72	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	8.3¢	599.944	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	25.0¢	400	Nov 17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	37.3¢	265.428	Nov 17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	29.0¢	205.793	Nov 17
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?	BUY	27.0¢	222.222	Nov 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	1.8¢	111.667	Oct 23
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Oct 7
US government shutdown by October 1?	SELL	21.0¢	14.3	Sep 30
US government shutdown by October 1?	BUY	46.0¢	24.891	Sep 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency20.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity35 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1065d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue