thevotwdspc

0x543672...cce25d

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.9%

Total P&L

+$1.3K

Trade Count

159

Sharpe Ratio

1.12

Sortino Ratio

1.52

Max Drawdown

9.6%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

22.23

Kelly Fraction

0.868

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

073/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	13.6¢	736.264	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.1¢	1,065.128	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	28.0¢	116.42	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	25.0¢	400	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	23.5¢	425.417	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	27.9¢	715.571	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	46.9¢	632.56	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	180	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	36.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	200	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	43.0¢	232.558	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	51.0¢	1,466.38	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	43.0¢	220	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	48.1¢	1,246.384	Mar 1
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	98.6¢	2,176.61	Feb 28
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	2,176.618	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	2,138.36	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	2,138.365	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	96.1¢	2,130.63	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	2,130.632	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active73

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)66.4%

Win Consistency70.8%

Profit Factor1.90

Drawdown Resilience1.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.53

Weekly Sharpe est.1.17

Trading Activity159 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,9367d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue