theWineGuy

0x26d10c...c894b0

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.4%

Total P&L

-$369

Trade Count

643

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.41

Max Drawdown

2103.8%

ROI

-1.1%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	91.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	80.0¢	10	Mar 4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	BUY	31.0¢	16.129	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	49.0¢	122	Mar 4
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs	BUY	61.0¢	25	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	92.1¢	90	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner	BUY	35.0¢	14	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	84.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	84.0¢	40	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	BUY	35.0¢	57	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	56.7¢	17.646	Mar 4
Hersonissos: Kimmer Coppejans vs Ioannis Xilas	BUY	51.0¢	39.216	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 3?	BUY	98.4¢	203.199	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?	BUY	97.5¢	512.821	Mar 2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage	BUY	51.0¢	39.216	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	32.0¢	30	Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	62.0¢	3.68	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	20	Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	62.0¢	5	Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?	BUY	62.0¢	26.316	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.2%

Win Consistency48.4%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity643 trades · 81 active days

P&L Calendar

$21,6223d profit77d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue