thirdfive

0x7c58f7...f1a079

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.47

Sortino Ratio

-1.36

Max Drawdown

1359.9%

ROI

-4.6%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	97.5¢	10	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	15	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	SELL	99.9¢	15	Mar 4
Counter-Strike: K27 vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	BUY	84.0¢	15	Mar 4
Rockets vs. Wizards	BUY	90.0¢	11	Mar 2
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	BUY	16.0¢	10	Feb 20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 19?	BUY	98.9¢	10	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 17?	BUY	98.3¢	5	Feb 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	90.0¢	5	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	SELL	99.0¢	5.82	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	95.0¢	1.053	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	11.11	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	9.969	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	BUY	87.0¢	1.149	Feb 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 6?	BUY	98.7¢	5.066	Feb 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	89.0¢	5.618	Feb 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.1%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity26 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$951d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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