Thomasinasbbd

0x3f048f...d12447@JoyJoyjones2015

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.3%

Total P&L

+$75

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

21146.7%

ROI

2.7%

Profit Factor

1.84

Kelly Fraction

0.412

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	84.168	Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Feb 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 3?	BUY	99.6¢	84.337	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 19?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 12?	BUY	99.9¢	84.084	Jan 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?	BUY	99.9¢	83.083	Jan 6
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	83.083	Jan 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 29?	BUY	99.9¢	83.083	Dec 29
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	83.823	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 22?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Dec 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 15?	BUY	99.9¢	84.735	Dec 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 9?	BUY	99.9¢	84.654	Dec 8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?	BUY	99.9¢	84.564	Dec 1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 27?	BUY	99.9¢	84.484	Nov 26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 19?	BUY	99.9¢	84.394	Nov 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?	BUY	99.9¢	84.314	Nov 11
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 2?	BUY	99.9¢	84.224	Nov 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.0%

Win Consistency58.9%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity62 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,4110d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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