thundr

0x5ae75b...133e12

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

+$65.6K

Trade Count

1,710

Sharpe Ratio

0.32

Sortino Ratio

2.89

Max Drawdown

2815.9%

ROI

48.5%

Profit Factor

4.47

Kelly Fraction

0.494

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?	BUY	19.1¢	70	Mar 4
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?	BUY	80.0¢	5.688	Mar 4
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	BUY	58.0¢	8.414	Mar 4
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	52.8¢	110	Mar 4
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	35.3¢	205	Mar 4
Will "Ayatollah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	70.0¢	283.33	Mar 4
Will "Guard" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	60.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will "Dario" or "Amodei" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	50.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will "Sam" or "Altman" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	50.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will "Wild" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	50.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will "Rail" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	BUY	70.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will "People" be said 70+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)	BUY	90.0¢	5.333	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Trump" during Security Council events on March 2?	SELL	96.0¢	1.05	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Trump" during Security Council events on March 2?	SELL	96.0¢	20	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Trump" during Security Council events on March 2?	BUY	5.0¢	21.05	Mar 2
Will Melania's remarks not air?	SELL	0.1¢	226.2	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Peace" during Security Council events on March 2?	SELL	96.4¢	97.64	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" during Security Council events on March 2?	SELL	96.0¢	0.88	Mar 2
Will Melania say "Child" or "Boy" or "Girl" during Security Council events on March 2?	BUY	87.0¢	0.88	Mar 2
Will Trump say "Secretary of War" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?	SELL	99.0¢	16.73	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.8%

Win Consistency32.4%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity1,710 trades · 68 active days

P&L Calendar

$15,90922d profit46d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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