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tiger557

0x15d275...6eb69f
Smart Score
71
Win Rate
56.5%
Total P&L
+$376
Trade Count
3,750
Sharpe Ratio
6.48
Sortino Ratio
34.71
Max Drawdown
75.8%
ROI
2.1%
Profit Factor
6.14
Kelly Fraction
0.472
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
070.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.7¢1.261Mar 5
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.7¢3,252.353Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.7¢1,860.588Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.7¢3.575Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢3,144.783Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢3,120.435Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.5¢1,826.8Mar 5
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL10.0¢19.9Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢16.52Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY24.0¢10Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY24.0¢20Mar 5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL2.5¢100Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.7¢24Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.7¢45.539Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.7¢25.005Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.2¢158.43Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.2¢1.02Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.2¢0.31Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.2¢5.99Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL1.2¢83.333Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%64%< 10%8%10–20%3%20–30%11%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active70.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.3%
Win Consistency64.1%
Profit Factor1.84
Drawdown Resilience1.48
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.48
Weekly Sharpe est.1.13
Trading Activity3,750 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9652d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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