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timonkosmon

0x5f88ab...85da69
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
47.1%
Total P&L
+$1.8K
Trade Count
293
Sharpe Ratio
0.45
Sortino Ratio
66.73
Max Drawdown
147.0%
ROI
4.3%
Profit Factor
1.94
Kelly Fraction
0.228
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 6?BUY57.0¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL44.0¢152.23Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY96.2¢155.918Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL53.0¢1.887Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL53.0¢24.9Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY95.6¢10.46Mar 4
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?SELL99.0¢806.14Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL68.9¢670.27Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?BUY55.9¢179.018Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY74.6¢670.27Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY18.0¢55.556Mar 2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY46.0¢21.739Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 4?BUY63.5¢78.75Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?BUY23.0¢73.76Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?SELL19.5¢91.86Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY98.8¢212.551Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?BUY12.0¢83.529Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 3?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 2?BUY96.5¢414.516Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on March 2?BUY52.0¢107.26Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%13%10–20%5%20–30%11%30–50%21%50–70%6%70–80%8%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.3%
Win Consistency54.1%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity293 trades · 47 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,33516d profit31d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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