tinaldo

0x8eea71...80744f

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.8%

Total P&L

-$196

Trade Count

126

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Sortino Ratio

26.84

Max Drawdown

210.8%

ROI

-40.2%

Profit Factor

0.06

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	3,000	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 2
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	4.0¢	232.67	Feb 7
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	4.0¢	100.316	Feb 6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	4.0¢	52.63	Feb 5
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	SELL	0.1¢	200	Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Feb 3
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?	BUY	1.0¢	200	Feb 2
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	BUY	29.8¢	16.757	Feb 2
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	SELL	0.1¢	1,500	Feb 1
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	1.5¢	191.56	Jan 31
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Jan 31
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BUY	0.2¢	250	Jan 31
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	1.5¢	5.005	Jan 31
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	SELL	5.0¢	31.25	Jan 31
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?	BUY	8.7¢	57.471	Jan 29
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	16.0¢	31.25	Jan 29
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	1.5¢	136.426	Jan 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.0%

Win Consistency35.1%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity126 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$2026d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue