tiredShip

0x2aae07...a5a80c

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.6%

Total P&L

+$4.3K

Trade Count

998

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

11.30

Max Drawdown

1189.0%

ROI

23.1%

Profit Factor

2.56

Kelly Fraction

0.375

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.6¢	50	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	SELL	97.8¢	6	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	10	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on March 4?	SELL	99.5¢	3.42	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?	BUY	77.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on March 4?	SELL	99.5¢	6.576	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?	BUY	98.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	BUY	93.1¢	12	Mar 3
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	BUY	99.8¢	6	Mar 3
Will Meta (META) close above $630 on March 4?	BUY	99.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	97.4¢	25	Mar 3
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.1¢	22	Mar 3
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	6.84	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?	SELL	98.7¢	34	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?	BUY	98.9¢	18.88	Mar 3
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	BUY	99.3¢	21.06	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.9%

Win Consistency55.9%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity998 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,0987d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue