Tnmlc

0x45c9ae...eaa3d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.4%

Total P&L

+$3.2K

Trade Count

986

Sharpe Ratio

0.53

Sortino Ratio

23.82

Max Drawdown

43.1%

ROI

29.4%

Profit Factor

5.37

Kelly Fraction

0.491

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

073.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	SELL	99.7¢	31.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	SELL	99.7¢	18.17	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	89.0¢	21.47	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	53.72	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	13.99	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	96.0¢	44.71	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	96.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	97.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	93.0¢	42.97	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	93.0¢	50.87	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	89.0¢	19.25	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	85.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	89.0¢	65	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	78.8¢	23	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	77.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	74.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	72.0¢	23.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	71.7¢	111.56	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?	BUY	78.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	70.0¢	110	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active73.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)67.3%

Win Consistency57.3%

Profit Factor1.92

Drawdown Resilience1.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.55

Weekly Sharpe est.1.18

Trading Activity986 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,36510d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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