Tojcek123

0x19c5c6...fe511d

Smart Score

Win Rate

13.5%

Total P&L

+$3.4K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.40

Sortino Ratio

4.06

Max Drawdown

3016.6%

ROI

6.5%

Profit Factor

1.42

Kelly Fraction

0.040

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	SELL	19.7¢	50.27	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	SELL	8.0¢	136.94	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?	SELL	43.7¢	25.97	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	SELL	19.0¢	88.88	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	SELL	7.0¢	285.71	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	8.0¢	162.5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	SELL	40.2¢	33.21	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?	SELL	4.7¢	200	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?	SELL	13.1¢	90.9	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	SELL	4.0¢	222.22	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.5¢	222.222	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?	BUY	11.0¢	90.909	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	7.3¢	136.946	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	BUY	19.9¢	50.274	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?	BUY	38.5¢	25.974	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	7.0¢	142.857	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?	BUY	18.0¢	55.556	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	3.2¢	151.51	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	30.1¢	33.212	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.8%

Win Consistency36.9%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 130 active days

P&L Calendar

+$32943d profit87d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue