0x8340a3...552e65

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.2%

Total P&L

+$466

Trade Count

103

Sharpe Ratio

3.88

Sortino Ratio

53.89

Max Drawdown

31.4%

ROI

14.3%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.069

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	BUY	60.9¢	16.42	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	23.848	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	BUY	8.5¢	117.806	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.0¢	150	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	150	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	45.0¢	300	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	35.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	18.0¢	55.556	Mar 4
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	BUY	26.0¢	192.308	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	13.0¢	588.23	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	5.0¢	707.49	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	37.2¢	248.49	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	40.2¢	248.499	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	12.5¢	159.646	Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.5¢	570.109	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	3.0¢	277.77	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	38.0¢	150	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.0%

Win Consistency39.1%

Profit Factor1.52

Drawdown Resilience1.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Trading Activity103 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$613d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue