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TomokoMoel

0x809800...02ac08@MoelTomoko92062
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
84.7%
Total P&L
+$851
Trade Count
110
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
2.43
Max Drawdown
1500.0%
ROI
18.0%
Profit Factor
8.48
Kelly Fraction
0.748
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.4¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.7¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.6¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.8¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?BUY99.9¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?BUY99.8¢5Nov 21
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?BUY54.0¢1,289Oct 30
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?BUY45.0¢671Oct 26
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)BUY91.0¢54Oct 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.0%
Win Consistency39.3%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.81
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity23 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1320d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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