tomxeth

0x350220...f816dc@tomxeth

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.0%

Total P&L

+$3.3K

Trade Count

343

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

2.26

Max Drawdown

7535.0%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

1.51

Kelly Fraction

0.247

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?	BUY	95.7¢	9	Nov 11
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	2.6¢	50	Nov 11
Will Donald Trump say "tampon" during Michigan town hall?	BUY	28.0¢	20.833	Aug 27
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	7,687.13	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	106.383	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	187.33	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	754.3	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	1,211.66	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	42.54	Aug 25
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	5.319	Aug 24
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?	SELL	94.0¢	5.319	Aug 24
Will Trump say "World War 3" at his Arizona speech?	BUY	96.0¢	219.9	Aug 23
Will Trump say "alien" 3 or more times at his Arizona speech?	BUY	17.0¢	2.41	Aug 23
Will Trump say "alien" 3 or more times at his Arizona speech?	BUY	17.0¢	464.819	Aug 23
Will Trump say "alien" 3 or more times at his Arizona speech?	BUY	75.0¢	276.49	Aug 23
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?	BUY	93.0¢	400	Aug 23
Will Trump say "MAGA" at his Arizona speech?	BUY	94.0¢	500	Aug 23
Will RFK be the special guest at Trump's Arizona rally?	BUY	90.0¢	30.57	Aug 23
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3+ times at his Arizona speech?	BUY	73.0¢	24.003	Aug 23
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3+ times at his Arizona speech?	BUY	73.0¢	38.151	Aug 23

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency54.7%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue