tomycriv

0x298b55...a2f05e

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.8%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

377

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.08

Max Drawdown

656.7%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

1.04

Kelly Fraction

0.030

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?	BUY	96.1¢	4.162	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	86.0¢	5.814	Mar 5
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	91.5¢	9.831	Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	91.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	94.0¢	5.319	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $175?	BUY	94.0¢	5.319	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	94.2¢	5.308	Mar 5
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	84.0¢	5.952	Mar 3
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	90.0¢	11.111	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	95.9¢	3.128	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Francisco Comesana	BUY	76.0¢	5.263	Mar 3
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Giron	BUY	77.0¢	6.494	Mar 3
Kigali: Marco Trungelliti vs Florent Bax	BUY	28.0¢	7.143	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	94.2¢	3.185	Mar 2
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	89.0¢	5.618	Mar 2
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Mar 2
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?	BUY	80.2¢	6.238	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Feb 27
Chile Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vilius Gaubas	BUY	72.0¢	6.944	Feb 27
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.62

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.3%

Win Consistency55.1%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity377 trades · 41 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,5080d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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