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TonyBeetZ

TonyBeetZ

0x50a3b6...140a78
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
51.6%
Total P&L
+$2.4K
Trade Count
3,996
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
6.65
Max Drawdown
1291.5%
ROI
11.2%
Profit Factor
1.63
Kelly Fraction
0.199
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY72.0¢2.139Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL77.0¢2Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY71.0¢2Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY84.0¢2.262Mar 5
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.2¢50Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY32.0¢4.375Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?SELL22.0¢15Mar 5
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY55.0¢4.582Mar 5
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY29.0¢4.414Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?SELL99.0¢2Mar 5
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?BUY31.0¢4.258Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY25.0¢5.2Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY69.0¢2.232Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY41.0¢3.293Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY35.0¢3.171Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY40.0¢3.525Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY25.0¢5.2Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY43.0¢3.279Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY71.0¢3.296Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY87.0¢7.322Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%5%10–20%8%20–30%28%30–50%39%50–70%6%70–80%4%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity3,996 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4,3143d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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