Tonyrempel45

0x0ab116...7a44d5
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
95.2%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
-1.91
Sortino Ratio
-1.57
Max Drawdown
650.0%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
54.67
Kelly Fraction
0.935
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?BUY99.7¢1.42Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.44Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.41Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 2?BUY99.8¢1.23Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?BUY99.5¢1.17Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.43Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?BUY99.6¢1.12Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?BUY99.9¢1.4Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢1.3Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.2¢1.46Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.26Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?BUY99.3¢1.22Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 28?BUY99.5¢1.15Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 28?BUY99.9¢1.25Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?BUY99.9¢1.37Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?BUY99.6¢1.31Feb 27
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 February 23-March 1?BUY99.7¢1.12Feb 27
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY99.8¢1.44Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?BUY99.0¢1.57Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 25?BUY99.6¢1.67Feb 24
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%
Win Consistency57.1%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity23 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$310d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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