toohot

0x90c5c6...83fb31

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.9%

Total P&L

+$323

Trade Count

160

Sharpe Ratio

2.64

Sortino Ratio

8.84

Max Drawdown

1006.2%

ROI

8.4%

Profit Factor

1.95

Kelly Fraction

0.282

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	3.3¢	29.865	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?	SELL	53.0¢	9.9	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	3.88	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	2.396	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	14.56	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	59.8¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	17.6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	1.306	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	4.4	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	0.377	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	4.4	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	1.91	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 4?	SELL	1.1¢	6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 4?	SELL	1.3¢	45	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 4?	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.8%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor1.02

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity160 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$2551d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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