Toutafeh

0x8245ca...bda426

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.6%

Total P&L

-$223

Trade Count

135

Sharpe Ratio

0.07

Sortino Ratio

1.00

Max Drawdown

52299.0%

ROI

-24.7%

Profit Factor

0.42

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	46.0¢	10.87	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	45.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	15.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	6.667	Mar 1
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 1
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Mar 1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Mar 1
Trump out as President before 2027?	BUY	15.0¢	40	Mar 1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	14.286	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	29.0¢	31.034	Mar 1
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	33.333	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	11.352	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	24.39	Feb 17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	16.0¢	50	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	2.4¢	41.667	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	1.7¢	59.16	Feb 17
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	1.2¢	83.333	Feb 17

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency24.4%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity135 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$6962d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue