toywy

0x1baa20...e56eb3

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.7%

Total P&L

+$5.6K

Trade Count

470

Sharpe Ratio

6.68

Sortino Ratio

244.47

Max Drawdown

2.7%

ROI

48.3%

Profit Factor

2.87

Kelly Fraction

0.220

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

075.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	27.0¢	31	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	27.0¢	24.593	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	27.0¢	472.94	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	30.0¢	11.03	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	10.0¢	800	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	16.0¢	528.89	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	28.0¢	1.1	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	28.0¢	914.13	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	28.0¢	17.36	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	41.0¢	27.64	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	SELL	53.0¢	639.77	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	BUY	10.0¢	800	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	45.1¢	800	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	16.0¢	300	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	24	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	13.0¢	204.89	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	675.037	Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	800	Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	14.33	Mar 4
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	485.67	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro75.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.1%

Win Consistency81.8%

Profit Factor1.97

Drawdown Resilience1.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.59

Weekly Sharpe est.1.21

Trading Activity470 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

+$5,73616d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue