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traderjoe2026

0x4b1c47...a7bd99
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
65.3%
Total P&L
+$77
Trade Count
129
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
1.10
Max Drawdown
501.8%
ROI
9.2%
Profit Factor
1.73
Kelly Fraction
0.276
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢5.102Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.5¢3.077Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?SELL92.9¢3.18Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢3.061Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY94.1¢3.188Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY98.6¢5.071Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL5.1¢15.55Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY19.0¢5.263Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 4?BUY97.8¢5.112Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY97.2¢10.288Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY89.0¢5.618Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?SELL60.2¢4.17Mar 3
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY39.6¢50.461Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?BUY95.9¢4.171Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?SELL1.3¢19.6Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 3?BUY5.1¢19.608Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?BUY93.0¢5.376Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 3?SELL99.9¢5.24Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?BUY76.0¢2.632Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 2?BUY91.0¢1.099Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%8%10–20%17%20–30%12%30–50%5%50–70%3%70–80%10%80–90%35%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity129 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3300d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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