Trail-Equinox

0x57ea87...2ba834

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.2%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.12

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

12.5%

ROI

-2.0%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	94.7¢	1.3	Mar 5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	1.308	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	1.33	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	1.334	Mar 5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	94.7¢	1.38	Mar 5
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.8¢	1.382	Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.265	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	1.29	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	1.294	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?	SELL	99.0¢	1.19	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?	BUY	99.1¢	1.191	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	1.27	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	1.275	Mar 5
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	0.2¢	1,120	Mar 4
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.3¢	1,120	Mar 4
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.3¢	1.35	Mar 1
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.4¢	1.352	Mar 1
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	1.24	Mar 1
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.241	Mar 1

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.4%

Win Consistency24.0%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity32 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$10d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics