trashtier

0x7df61c...77ac3b

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.6%

Total P&L

-$1.8K

Trade Count

3,913

Sharpe Ratio

0.46

Sortino Ratio

16.49

Max Drawdown

692.3%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.93

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	218.79	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	194.07	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	0.37	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	17.0¢	200	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	4.22	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	1.443	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	35	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	120.31	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	4	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	3.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.667	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	1.64	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	149.32	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	90.7¢	200	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	89.2¢	138.86	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%

Win Consistency52.0%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity3,913 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$39,4954d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue