Accrue
Log inGet Access

trdfgv

0x6a2a67...cbbea1
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
82.5%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
188
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67
Sortino Ratio
-0.48
Max Drawdown
13722.9%
ROI
-0.6%
Profit Factor
-4.30
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL97.1¢1.02Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL94.0¢1.05Mar 4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.0¢1.053Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY97.4¢1.027Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.8¢1.06Feb 26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL89.5¢1.08Feb 26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY91.9¢1.088Feb 26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 26
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?SELL99.3¢1Feb 25
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?SELL90.0¢1.09Feb 25
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 25
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?BUY99.6¢1.004Feb 25
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL82.0¢1.17Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL88.0¢1.12Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY89.0¢1.124Feb 20
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY85.0¢1.176Feb 20
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL84.0¢1.16Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?SELL91.0¢1.07Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY86.0¢1.163Feb 18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18?BUY93.0¢1.075Feb 18

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%7%80–90%93%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency58.7%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity188 trades · 50 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$22d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics