treng

0x23a578...26f850

Smart Score

Win Rate

73.9%

Total P&L

-$103

Trade Count

218

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

2.93

Max Drawdown

152942.9%

ROI

-3.8%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.1¢	98.79	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.1¢	12.3	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.2¢	12.55	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.2¢	1	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.2¢	10	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	37.9¢	120	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	4.4	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	36.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	36.9¢	14.041	Mar 4
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?	SELL	86.5¢	3.74	Mar 4
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	SELL	96.2¢	3.56	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	BUY	97.7¢	12.774	Jan 26
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?	SELL	99.8¢	12.17	Jan 26
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?	BUY	95.3¢	5.561	Jan 26
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?	BUY	84.0¢	8.333	Jan 13
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?	BUY	90.7¢	3.749	Jan 13
Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	3.568	Jan 13
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	BUY	93.7¢	6.403	Jan 13
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?	BUY	98.6¢	12.17	Jan 13
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $530?	BUY	99.1¢	5.55	Jan 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%

Win Consistency29.7%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity197 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$8913d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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