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trial28

0x4ec405...026f33
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
50.6%
Total P&L
+$8.5K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
2.32
Sortino Ratio
308.86
Max Drawdown
1251.5%
ROI
97.8%
Profit Factor
11.06
Kelly Fraction
0.460
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
053.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 5?BUY99.3¢8.05Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?SELL9.0¢8.69Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL57.0¢3.7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?SELL95.6¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?SELL95.6¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?SELL92.4¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?BUY24.9¢8.03Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?BUY54.0¢3.7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?SELL68.0¢2.4Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?SELL22.0¢9.09Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL72.0¢5.9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?SELL72.0¢1.78Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢8.69Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢26.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY26.0¢6.24Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY26.0¢1.446Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY97.9¢5.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?SELL78.0¢4.16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing53.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.9%
Win Consistency44.3%
Profit Factor1.40
Drawdown Resilience1.13
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.13
Weekly Sharpe est.0.86

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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