trumpeto

0x726e4b...a577ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.0%

Total P&L

+$9.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.24

Sortino Ratio

3.96

Max Drawdown

188.9%

ROI

23.7%

Profit Factor

0.05

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Amazon say "Bank of America" during earnings call?	SELL	94.0¢	9,892	Feb 4
Will Amazon say "Bank of America" during earnings call?	BUY	6.0¢	9,892	Feb 4
Will Poland record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	93.0¢	4,952	Feb 4
Will Poland record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	7.0¢	4,952	Feb 4
Will Bulgaria record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	93.0¢	373	Feb 4
Will Bulgaria record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	7.0¢	373	Feb 4
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	98.6¢	26.322	Feb 2
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?	BUY	99.8¢	25.942	Nov 12
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?	SELL	68.0¢	15,344	Nov 12
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?	BUY	5.0¢	15,344	Nov 12
Games Total: O/U 3.5	BUY	78.0¢	34.962	Nov 6
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6,300	Oct 18
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 13-19?	BUY	99.9¢	26.857	Oct 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 12?	BUY	99.9¢	26.826	Oct 12
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	19,803	Oct 4
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	100	Oct 4
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	700	Oct 4
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	209	Oct 4
Will Solana reach $350 in September?	BUY	99.9¢	26.356	Sep 28
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?	BUY	72.0¢	26.333	Sep 8

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.1%

Win Consistency67.5%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity61 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

+$8,4832d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue