Tshors

0xa59d6e...f1f9a2

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.0%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

990

Sharpe Ratio

0.61

Sortino Ratio

1.00

Max Drawdown

117.3%

ROI

4.7%

Profit Factor

83.46

Kelly Fraction

0.751

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?	BUY	90.7¢	21	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.8¢	2.08	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?	BUY	90.1¢	3.61	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?	BUY	90.1¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	36.89	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?	SELL	99.1¢	75.17	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?	BUY	92.0¢	22	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?	BUY	96.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 6?	BUY	95.0¢	100.99	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	258	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.5¢	175.35	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?	SELL	99.5¢	82.641	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?	BUY	86.9¢	130	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 5?	SELL	99.1¢	124.6	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 6?	SELL	99.6¢	5.14	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	97.0¢	11	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.0%

Win Consistency72.0%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity990 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1078d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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