ttales

0x415b7c...c025e8

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.3%

Total P&L

+$84

Trade Count

144

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

8.92

Max Drawdown

21.8%

ROI

9.0%

Profit Factor

1.90

Kelly Fraction

0.210

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

060.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia	BUY	5.0¢	10	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia	BUY	5.0¢	10	Mar 5
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Czechia	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.8¢	56.18	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.8¢	56.18	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	17.8¢	56.18	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	25.2¢	39.683	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	39.4¢	12.701	Mar 3
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Mar 3
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?	SELL	32.1¢	20.1	Mar 2
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	9.0¢	11	Mar 2
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	11.0¢	9.107	Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	18.4¢	27.105	Mar 1
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	36.0¢	13.889	Feb 28
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?	BUY	50.0¢	10	Feb 25
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	37.4¢	80.129	Feb 24
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	BUY	36.0¢	2.775	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active60.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.9%

Win Consistency58.7%

Profit Factor1.57

Drawdown Resilience1.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.96

Trading Activity144 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$3917d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue