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ttw

0x38a027...dc2c30
Smart Score
40
Win Rate
22.2%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
0.53
Sortino Ratio
6.49
Max Drawdown
69.5%
ROI
-5.1%
Profit Factor
0.83
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
040.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY5.9¢16.949Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?BUY13.0¢7.692Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY20.3¢49.142Mar 5
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL11.9¢6.66Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL95.3¢71.98Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY2.5¢202.74Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY5.5¢90.409Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY2.1¢238.23Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY2.1¢481.492Mar 4
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY75.0¢6.667Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?BUY66.2¢7.559Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?SELL54.0¢7.69Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL67.0¢6.75Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL60.9¢12.82Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 4?BUY2.0¢252.485Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY57.2¢8.743Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?SELL60.9¢7.53Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?SELL1.3¢271.35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL72.0¢6.75Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?BUY1.8¢271.352Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%4%10–20%13%20–30%13%30–50%19%50–70%10%70–80%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing40.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.6%
Win Consistency40.4%
Profit Factor1.05
Drawdown Resilience0.84
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84
Weekly Sharpe est.0.64
Trading Activity62 trades · 13 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1334d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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