turkobulgarrequ

0x5a36d4...747849

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.3%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.92

Sortino Ratio

-0.87

Max Drawdown

79.0%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

-0.32

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Sabres vs. Penguins	BUY	52.0¢	31.4	Mar 5
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?	BUY	0.1¢	5.7	Oct 29
Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Presidential Election?	BUY	0.1¢	119.3	Oct 29
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?	BUY	0.1¢	130	Oct 18
Will a candidate from another party win Florida Presidential Election?	BUY	0.1¢	97	Sep 26
Will the Miami Marlins win the World Series?	BUY	0.1¢	149	Sep 4
Will $BTC reach 75k before September?	BUY	0.1¢	108	Aug 31
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?	SELL	0.1¢	50	Aug 30
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?	SELL	0.1¢	55	Aug 30
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?	BUY	0.2¢	50	Aug 17
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?	BUY	0.2¢	49.61	Aug 13
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?	BUY	0.2¢	5.39	Aug 13
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	SELL	99.7¢	92.34	Aug 8
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?	BUY	99.8¢	92.345	Aug 8
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?	SELL	98.8¢	93.28	Aug 8
Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?	BUY	98.9¢	93.286	Aug 8
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?	SELL	99.5¢	92.72	Aug 8
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?	BUY	99.6¢	92.721	Aug 8

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.1%

Win Consistency18.2%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue