tweerd

0x8efb09...df20b6

Smart Score

Win Rate

9.1%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.71

Sortino Ratio

3.04

Max Drawdown

62.1%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

2.38

Kelly Fraction

0.053

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	1.008	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1.003	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	1.012	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	1.002	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	1.117	Jan 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue