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TXLightning5

0x252b5c...f5dfc9
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
31.8%
Total P&L
-$115
Trade Count
755
Sharpe Ratio
1.67
Sortino Ratio
9.16
Max Drawdown
177.1%
ROI
-3.4%
Profit Factor
0.90
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY73.0¢2.15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY59.0¢3.27Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY58.0¢3.27Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY11.0¢17.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY10.0¢1.767Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY26.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY27.0¢0.91Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY27.0¢0.07Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY27.0¢5.91Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY77.0¢2.5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢1.65Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢8.64Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY21.0¢0.64Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY21.0¢3Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY21.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 5?BUY67.0¢2.88Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY42.0¢3.45Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY77.0¢1.96Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?BUY31.0¢5.35Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?BUY30.0¢5Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%18%10–20%16%20–30%18%30–50%20%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%
Win Consistency49.8%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity755 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1501d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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