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Urwelcom

0x78bcf2...a72585
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
44.2%
Total P&L
+$16.9K
Trade Count
998
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
1.98
Max Drawdown
2825.0%
ROI
9.2%
Profit Factor
1.32
Kelly Fraction
0.108
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?SELL50.0¢780.02Mar 4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?SELL50.0¢199.98Mar 4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?SELL50.0¢20Mar 4
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?SELL83.0¢147.85Mar 3
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL26.0¢600Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?SELL7.7¢4.104Mar 2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢394.41Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢512Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢501.17Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢526Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢512Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢298.22Mar 1
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢25.34Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢31.641Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢109.58Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢205.13Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢46.27Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢467.297Feb 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢1.84Feb 27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.7¢32.22Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%6%10–20%7%20–30%25%30–50%21%50–70%11%70–80%13%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.9%
Win Consistency45.6%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity998 trades · 62 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$91,18411d profit51d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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