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UY45TGRF

0x6fd197...3dc1b3
Smart Score
11
Win Rate
69.7%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
391
Sharpe Ratio
-1.39
Sortino Ratio
-1.61
Max Drawdown
2186.6%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1.70
Kelly Fraction
0.288
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
011/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.0¢8.29Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.4¢8.299Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢9.524Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢9.288Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.2¢8.58Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.3¢8.574Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.0¢6.1Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.0¢2.23Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.1¢8.325Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.49Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL83.3¢5.95Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢7.21Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢8.45Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢11.78Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY84.0¢5.952Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢11.765Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ETBUY99.8¢7.014Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢6.16Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢6.148Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%8%70–80%8%80–90%63%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing11

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.0%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.29
Drawdown Resilience0.23
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23
Weekly Sharpe est.0.18
Trading Activity391 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$50810d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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