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0x550afa...1010cb@ygcae74953999
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
86.1%
Total P&L
-$54
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
0.33
Sortino Ratio
2.56
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-3.2%
Profit Factor
0.06
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 5?BUY99.6¢52.209Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢52.104Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 8?BUY99.9¢53Feb 7
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on February 2?BUY99.8¢11.022Feb 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 2?BUY99.4¢42.254Feb 2
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY99.9¢28.028Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?BUY99.8¢25.05Jan 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 20?BUY99.7¢52.156Jan 20
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?BUY99.4¢52.314Jan 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 11?BUY99.9¢52.052Jan 10
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 7?BUY99.9¢52.052Jan 6
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 1?BUY99.9¢52.052Jan 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?BUY99.8¢50.1Dec 27
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?BUY99.8¢51.102Dec 25
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?BUY0.4¢253.75Dec 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on December 22?BUY99.9¢50.05Dec 21
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)BUY76.0¢20Dec 19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19?BUY99.9¢30.03Dec 19
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?BUY0.2¢550Dec 12
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?BUY99.7¢14.042Dec 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%86%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.0%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity36 trades · 25 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,6900d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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